STLLR x THE DAVID LIN REPORT

STLLR x THE DAVID LIN REPORT

STLLR x THE DAVID LIN REPORT

Welcoming our friends from The David Lin Report. This is our latest newsletter alongside Gold related clips from TDLR.

Welcoming our friends from The David Lin Report. This is our latest newsletter alongside Gold related clips from TDLR.

THE STLLR ADVANTAGE

  • 2 Cornerstone Canadian Gold Projects Capable of Large-Scale Production 

  • Significant Mineral Resource Estimate 

  • Attractive Valuation

  • Strong Balance Sheet (Currently C$17 million)

  • Team with Mine Building, Operations, Finance & M&A Experience

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GOLD MARKET

During September 2024, gold prices experienced a notable surge, breaking new records. Specific milestones and events that influenced this performance include:

Price Performance: Gold reached a peak of $2,689.40 per ounce on September 24, 2024, nearly surpassing the $2,700 mark. Throughout the month, gold futures were consistently elevated, driven by a series of geopolitical and economic events.

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts: The Federal Reserve implemented a 50-basis point cut to its benchmark interest rate, lowering it to a range of 4.75% to 5.00% in mid-September. This decision weakened the U.S. dollar by 0.43%, which contributed to gold’s rise. The Fed's move was aimed at sustaining economic growth but inadvertently made non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.

Geopolitical Tensions: Key geopolitical events, including escalating conflicts in Israel and Lebanon, further exacerbated market uncertainty. Military actions between Israel and Hezbollah, alongside the ongoing war in Ukraine, drove investors to seek safety in gold as a hedge against potential global instability​.

Central Bank Purchases: Central banks continued to bolster their gold reserves, with notable purchases by countries like India, which added 43 tonnes of gold, and Poland, which added 14 tonnes by July 2024​. These acquisitions, aimed at diversifying away from the U.S. dollar, helped sustain strong demand for gold.

Inflation and Economic Concerns: Despite inflation stabilizing in some regions, broader economic uncertainties, including a 6.9-point drop in U.S. consumer confidence (the largest monthly decline in three years), contributed to gold’s appeal. Investors continued to view gold as a reliable hedge against inflation and future economic downturns

Weaker U.S. Dollar: The weakening U.S. dollar throughout September made gold more affordable for foreign buyers, further boosting demand. The dollar’s decline directly contributed to gold’s rise, with the dollar index falling to 100.371 by the end of the month​.

In conclusion, September 2024 saw a confluence of factors, including monetary policy shifts, geopolitical instability, central bank demand, and economic uncertainty, that pushed gold prices to near-record highs. Analysts predicted further gains, with some forecasts projecting gold prices could surpass $2,700 by year-end.

OUTLOOK

The outlook for the gold market for the remainder of 2024 is broadly positive, with prices expected to maintain or even surpass their current high levels. Several key factors are driving this optimism:

  • Interest Rate Expectations: Analysts anticipate that the Federal Reserve will likely begin a rate-cutting cycle towards the end of 2024, possibly in November. This could reduce the appeal of the U.S. dollar and bonds, thereby boosting demand for gold as an alternative store of value.

  • Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, particularly with respect to the US Elections, and regions like the Middle East, are expected to keep gold in demand as a safe-haven asset. These tensions, coupled with global economic uncertainties, make gold an attractive hedge against potential market volatility​.

  • Central Bank Buying: Central banks have been significant buyers of gold throughout 2024, a trend that is likely to continue. This purchasing activity supports the price of gold by reducing the available supply on the open market​.

  • Inflation and Economic Data: Inflationary pressures and mixed economic data, especially from the U.S., are expected to continue influencing gold prices. While inflation has shown signs of moderating, it remains a concern, particularly with U.S. fiscal deficits and debt levels remaining high​.

Most forecasts suggest that gold prices hold steady at $2,500 per ounce, with some projections as high as $2,600 by the end of the year. However, the market is expected to remain volatile, and prices could experience fluctuations based on short-term economic data releases and central bank actions​. In summary, while the gold market may experience some turbulence, the overall outlook for the rest of 2024 is strong, with prices likely to remain at elevated levels due to a combination of economic, geopolitical, and market-specific factors.

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Gold Price Performance Per Currency (Source: WGC, Goldprice.org, STLLR Estimates)

Currency

Currency

Currency

September

September

September

1-Year

1-Year

1-Year

Euro

Euro

Euro

+4.94%

+4.94%

+4.94%

+34.98%

+34.98%

+34.98%

CNY

CNY

CNY

+4.69%

+4.69%

+4.69%

+36.71%

+36.71%

+36.71%

CHF

CHF

+4.84%

+4.84%

+4.84%

+31.06%

+31.06%

+31.06%

GBR

GBR

+3.82%

+3.82%

+3.82%

+29.79%

+29.79%

+29.79%

CAD

CAD

+5.98%

+5.98%

+5.98%

+41.95%

+41.95%

+41.95%

AUD

AUD

+3.58%

+3.58%

+3.58%

+32.65%

+32.65%

+32.65%

INR

INR

+5.69%

+5.69%

+5.69%

+43.37%

+43.37%

+43.37%

JPY

JPY

+3.21%

+3.21%

+3.21%

+35.73%

+35.73%

+35.73%

ZAR

ZAR

+1.59%

+1.59%

+1.59%

+28.81%

+28.81%

+28.81%

BRL

BRL

+4.07%

+4.07%

+4.07%

+55.44%

+55.44%

+55.44%

MXN

MXN

+2.83%

+2.83%

+2.83%

+56.09%

+56.09%

+56.09%

ARS

ARS

+7.89%

+7.89%

+7.89%

+306.42%

+306.42%

+306.42%

RUB

RUB

+9.26%

+9.26%

+9.26%

+37.46%

+37.46%

+37.46%

PRICE PERFORMANCE & FORECAST

Price Performance Charts: Since January 1/20, 1-Year, 3-Month, 1-Month
Gold Price vs. S&P 500 vs. Nasdaq vs. Dow Jones ending September 30, 2024
(Source: WGC, STLLR Estimates, Yahoo Finance)

UPCOMING STLLR EVENTS

"The Decarbonized Mine" Energy and Mines Summit: November 12-13, 2024 Toronto

Yellowknife Geoscience Forum: November 26-28 Yellowknife, NT

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Signup for our newsletter, and if you're as excited for Gold's future like we are, please reach out to us.

Signup for our newsletter, and if you're as excited for Gold's future like we are, please reach out to us.